Current:Home > ContactHere's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy -Wealth Legacy Solutions
Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy
Will Sage Astor View
Date:2025-03-12 02:31:57
Inflation got a little higher last month — but not enough to set off alarms.
Consumer prices in July were up 3.2% from a year ago, according to data released Thursday, driven in part by rising rent, gas and grocery prices. The increase came after the annual inflation rate had fallen steadily for the previous 12 months.
Despite the rise in the headline rate, details in the report show inflation continuing to moderate. Stocks rallied on the news, which bolstered hopes for a "soft landing," in which the Federal Reserve brings inflation under control without tipping the economy into recession.
Here are four things to know about the latest report on inflation.
What was so encouraging about the latest inflation report?
Although consumer prices rose more in July on an annual basis than they did in June, that shouldn't be read as inflation gaining steam. Rather, it's the result of a single month of flat prices a year ago dropping out of the calculation.
Focusing on more recent months shows price hikes continuing to moderate. In fact, over the last three months, prices have climbed at an annual rate of just under 2%. And some prices are actually coming down.
So what is up — and what is down in price?
Goods overall are getting cheaper, with some exceptions like gasoline and groceries.
Used car prices were down last month, and they are expected to keep falling. Air fares dropped more than 8% in July for the second month in a row.
Rent is still going up, but not as fast as it had been. The economy is also seeing a moderation in the price of services – things like getting your car fixed or going to the dentist.
Service prices are largely driven by wages, so they tend to be stickier than other prices. The big question is whether service inflation will come down enough to bring overall inflation under control.
Why is Wall Street so encouraged about inflation?
The inflation data was within what Wall Street had forecast, and it reinforces hope that inflation is easing.
At the same time, other recent data is showing a sturdier economy than many had expected. The labor market, in particular, is holding up well despite the Fed's aggressive increases in interest rates since last year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 400 points in the first hour of trading Thursday, although most of those gains were later reversed. The Dow closed up 52 points, or 0.15%.
Stephen Juneau, a senior economist at Bank of America, says he's encouraged about the trajectory of inflation.
"I think the direction of travel right now is really moving in the right direction, and is encouraging on the inflation front," Juneau said.
How could the inflation data impact the Fed's thinking?
Even before Thursday's inflation news, markets were betting the Fed would leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting after raising rates aggressively since last year.
Oddsmakers see that as even more likely after this report.
But nothing's certain and additional economic data will determine the Fed's next action. The Fed doesn't meet until late September and there are still areas of concern, including higher oil prices which are driving up prices at the gas pump.
How could inflation impact households?
Although inflation is easing, it's still pretty high. Even if the Fed doesn't raise rates higher, they're likely to remain elevated for an extended period.
That has an impact on many people's pocketbooks since households are paying more for mortgages and credit cards, for example.
And the economy may be looking sturdier, but there's still a risk the U.S. could enter a recession.
China's economy, for example, is showing signs of slowing down significantly, which could impact the global economy at a time when the U.S. is taking a tougher stance against the Asian country.
veryGood! (15)
Related
- The Louvre will be renovated and the 'Mona Lisa' will have her own room
- A Turning Point in Financial Innovation: The Ascent of DB Wealth Institute
- Emma Watson Confirms New Romance With Oxford Classmate Kieran Brown
- Sen. Bob Menendez put his power up for sale, prosecutors say in closing arguments of bribery trial
- Sonya Massey's father decries possible release of former deputy charged with her death
- Horoscopes Today, July 7, 2024
- USWNT roster for Paris Olympics: With Alex Morgan left out, who made the cut?
- Why Alex Cooper Says Zayn Malik Was Her Most Challenging Call Her Daddy Interview Yet
- IRS recovers $4.7 billion in back taxes and braces for cuts with Trump and GOP in power
- Dartmouth student found dead in river leads police to open hazing investigation
Ranking
- Travis Hunter, the 2
- What the American Pie Cast Is Up to Now
- Imagine Dragons' Dan Reynolds talks 'harm' of Mormonism, relationship with family
- 2024 French election results no big win for far-right, but next steps unclear. Here's what could happen.
- Meta donates $1 million to Trump’s inauguration fund
- Limited-Edition Mopar 2024 Jeep Gladiator Rubicon makes its grand debut
- Inside Pregnant Gypsy Rose Blanchard and Ken Urker's Road to Baby
- A Turning Point in Financial Innovation: The Ascent of DB Wealth Institute
Recommendation
Why we love Bear Pond Books, a ski town bookstore with a French bulldog 'Staff Pup'
Tobey Maguire's Ex-Wife Jennifer Meyer Defends His Photos With 20-Year-Old Model Lily Chee
Alabama lawmaker arrested on forgery charges
Alabama lawmaker arrested on forgery charges
Mets have visions of grandeur, and a dynasty, with Juan Soto as major catalyst
Suki Waterhouse Shares Sizzling Bikini Photo Months After Welcoming Baby Girl
Alec Baldwin goes to trial for 'Rust' movie shooting: What you need to know
Support for legal abortion has risen since Supreme Court eliminated protections, AP-NORC poll finds